Senior Downing Street figures are putting the chances of a Brexit trade agreement with the European Union deal at 30-40%, according to  The Times. The two sides are at loggerheads over state aid, with no sign that either London or Brussels is prepared to compromise ahead of a “critical” negotiating round next week. Boris Johnson has also demanded that British fishermen double the size of their catch from coastal waters, though EU negotiators feel that would lead to the loss of one in three fishing boats in Europe.